Thursday, May 31, 2012

Reuters: World News: Insight: From a ferry, a Chinese fast-attack boat

Reuters: World News
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Insight: From a ferry, a Chinese fast-attack boat
Jun 1st 2012, 04:48

By David Lague

Fri Jun 1, 2012 12:48am EDT

(Reuters) - It looked like a textbook win-win deal when Australian high-speed ferry designer AMD Marine Consulting formed a joint venture in 1993 with the engineering arm of a state-owned Chinese shipbuilder.

The joint venture partner, Guangzhou Marine Engineering Corporation, a subsidiary of the giant China State Shipbuilding Corporation, gained access to state-of-the-art technology in wave-piercing, aluminum-hull designs.

For AMD, a Sydney-based private company, the payoff was a foothold in China's maritime market during a period of rapid growth.

The joint venture, Seabus International Co, began designing high-speed aluminum catamaran ferries and sea rescue vessels for China's inland and coastal waters, according to the company's website.

That's when a third winner emerged.

Attracted to the performance of these fast, stable and relatively cheap vessels, the Chinese military adopted the technology as it began replacing its aging missile boats that had been derived from an obsolete Soviet design.

The new fleet of missile boats are part of a naval buildup that back up China's claims to islets and reefs in the South China Sea, waters rich in oil and gas and which half the world's ship tonnage passes through each year.

This growing military muscle has prompted the United States to make a strategic shift toward Asia.

U.S. Defense Secretary Leon Panetta, on his first visit to the region since announcing that shift in January, will brief allies about it this weekend, beginning with "The Shangri-La Dialogue". The event brings together senior civilian and military chiefs from nearly 30 Asia-Pacific states to foster security cooperation and takes its name from the host Singapore hotel.

MISSILE BOAT

Since 2004, the People's Liberation Army (PLA) navy has deployed a rapidly expanding fleet of heavily armed, Houbei class fast-attack missile boats based on AMD's advanced catamaran hull.

In a clear demonstration of the value of foreign dual-use technology in China's rapid military buildup, the Houbei class or Type-022 as it is also known, appears to be adapted from the AMD 350 patrol boat design, Chinese and Western analysts say.

However, AMD's technical director, Allan Soars, said the Australian company was not involved in the design of the missile craft.

He said after the joint venture company Seabus International had designed some fast ferries it appeared the PLA Navy had decided the company's wave piercing technology would make a good platform for a military vessel.

"I have no knowledge of the mechanisms at play, but it would appear that Seabus International was co-opted by the PLA navy to design the vessel platform," Soars said. This was not done at the Seabus International offices but at a military establishment.

"The whole process was carried out in secrecy and under strict confidentiality agreements directly with the Seabus International staff who are all Chinese nationals."

PENTAGON REPORT

In its annual report on the Chinese military, the Pentagon said earlier this month the Chinese navy had deployed about 60 of the Houbei class patrol craft.

"These boats have increased the PLA Navy's littoral warfare capabilities," the Pentagon said.

The United States is also beefing up its littoral warfare capabilities in the region. The USS Freedom, first in a new class of combat ships, will be sent to Singapore next year.

The smaller, shallow-draft ships are intended for operations close to shore and capable of deploying quickly in a crisis. Singapore has discussed hosting up to four such U.S. "Littoral Combat Ships" on a rotational basis at its naval facilities.

From putting marines in northern Australia, stepping up military ties with Vietnam and strengthening its long-standing alliance with the Philippines, Washington has as part of the "pivot", Washington has quickly begun executing the "Asian pivot".

"ANTI-ACCESS STRATEGY"

In the report, the Pentagon said China's defense and civilian sectors work in close cooperation to incorporate technology that could accelerate military modernization.

The cumulative effect of dual-use technology transfers, particularly from the United States, could make a substantial contribution to Chinese military firepower, it said.

The mass production of the Type-022 suggests the Chinese navy believes these vessels will complement its so-called "anti-access" strategy aimed at keeping foreign forces away from waters surrounding Taiwan in time of conflict, said Sam Roggeveen, an analyst and commentator at the Sydney-based Lowy Institute for International Policy, an independent private foreign policy research group.

China considers self-ruled Taiwan a renegade province to be brought under mainland control eventually, and by force if necessary. The United States is Taiwan's biggest ally and arms supplier and is duty-bound by legislation to help the island defend itself.

"China's anti-access capabilities are now such that it would be very difficult for the U.S. Navy to intervene in a conflict over Taiwan at an acceptable cost," Roggeveen said. "The Type-22 has made a contribution to that capability."

UNDER THE RADAR

Some analysts forecast the Chinese navy will take delivery of up to 100 of these vessels, which carry an estimated price tag of about $15 million each.

No one has suggested AMD Marine Consulting has done anything illegal. Under Australian law, exporters of military equipment must seek government approval for foreign sales but these restrictions do not apply to work done by Australian company subsidiaries operating offshore.

Soars said the advantage of AMD's wave piercing hull design was that it delivered exceptional sea keeping qualities, allowing smaller vessels to sail into rough water.

"While the military could obviously afford larger vessels we speculate that they wanted to keep the vessel size down to minimize radar signature although we cannot rule out cost considerations given the number of vessels," he said.

An Australian company is also providing aluminum hull design technology to the U.S. military. Western Australian shipbuilder Austal has won contracts to design and build a new class of littoral combat ship and high-speed transport catamarans for the U.S. Navy.

WESTERN WEAPONS SALES BAN

Despite bans on Western weapons sales to China that have remained in place since the 1989 Tiananmen crackdown, Beijing has mounted a rapid military build-up that has made the PLA increasingly capable of challenging the military dominance the United States has enjoyed in Asia since the end of the Cold War.

Average annual increases of almost 12 per cent in military spending over more than two decades have allowed China to deploy an expanding force of potent warships and submarines, long-range strike aircraft, missiles and modernized nuclear warheads.

Early in this period, China relied heavily on imports of Russian weapons but this has slowed as the domestic arms industry gears up to build more locally designed hardware.

As part of this shift, dual-use technology from abroad has been crucial to advances across a broad range of China's military technologies including satellites, communications networks, helicopters, radars, marine engines, signals processing and training simulators, military analysts say.

China's state-owned commercial shipbuilders, who also deliver warships for the navy, have been at the forefront of absorbing foreign technology.

TOP PLA PRIORITY

The link between AMD's designs and the Chinese navy was first reported in 2007 in SIGNAL Magazine, a Fairfax, Virginia-based specialist defense technology publication. Roggeveen also reported on the deal in a Lowy Institute blog.

Since then, the expanding Houbei class fleet has become a top priority for China's military with mass production involving up to five shipyards, defense experts say.

With an estimated top speed of more than 36 knots, the 225-tonne boats were clearly designed for offensive missions where they would attack with their YJ-83 anti-ship missiles, which can strike targets at a distance of more than 200 km, experts say.

They also appear to be equipped with advanced data processing links so these missiles can be directed from sensors on other aircraft or ships.

The Type-22 also has a close-in weapon system for defense against incoming missiles and what appears to be a launcher for anti-aircraft missiles.

"CARRIER KILLER"

Naval strategists suggest that deployed in big numbers in wartime, these fast and stealthy craft could overwhelm bigger and much more expensive enemy warships with waves of missiles fired from different directions.

Combined with missiles from China's land-based launchers, surface warships, submarines and strike aircraft, these attacks could sharply raise the stakes for an enemy operating close to the mainland.

"This craft is a purebred ship killer, perhaps even a carrier killer," wrote John Patch, a retired U.S. Navy officer in an article for the United States Naval Institute.

In its report on China, the Pentagon said it would continue with efforts to block the transfer of important technology to China that would contribute to China's defense industry and military firepower.

However, for the United States and its allies, it could be difficult to evaluate which technologies or materials should be restricted, according to military analysts, particularly for countries that benefit from close trading relationships with China.

"If you were going to be terribly rigid about this, you'd argue that Australian iron-ore exports indirectly benefit the PLA and thus should be stopped," said Roggeveen.

(Editing by Bill Tarrant)

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Reuters: World News: Brazil's ex-president Lula says he may run again

Reuters: World News
Reuters.com is your source for breaking news, business, financial and investing news, including personal finance and stocks. Reuters is the leading global provider of news, financial information and technology solutions to the world's media, financial institutions, businesses and individuals. // via fulltextrssfeed.com
Brazil's ex-president Lula says he may run again
Jun 1st 2012, 03:35

Brazil's former President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva speaks during the fifth Ministerial Forum for Development in Brasilia May 30, 2012.

Credit: Reuters / Ueslei Marcelino

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Reuters: World News: Greek pro-bailout party leads leftists in surveys

Reuters: World News
Reuters.com is your source for breaking news, business, financial and investing news, including personal finance and stocks. Reuters is the leading global provider of news, financial information and technology solutions to the world's media, financial institutions, businesses and individuals. // via fulltextrssfeed.com
Greek pro-bailout party leads leftists in surveys
Jun 1st 2012, 03:17

1 of 4. Conservative New Democracy party leader Antonis Samaras (C) is greeted by a supporter as he arrives at the Athens Chamber of Commerce and Industry May 31, 2012. Greece's pro-bailout New Democracy (ND) party is ahead of the anti-bailout SYRIZA party in the run-up to a June 17 parliamentary election that may decide whether the debt-laden country remains in the euro, two polls showed on Thursday.

Credit: Reuters/John Kolesidis

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Reuters: World News: Syria on brink of sectarian civil war, West says

Reuters: World News
Reuters.com is your source for breaking news, business, financial and investing news, including personal finance and stocks. Reuters is the leading global provider of news, financial information and technology solutions to the world's media, financial institutions, businesses and individuals. // via fulltextrssfeed.com
Syria on brink of sectarian civil war, West says
Jun 1st 2012, 01:27

People gather at a mass burial for the victims purportedly killed during an artillery barrage from Syrian forces in Houla in this handout image dated May 26, 2012. U.N. observers in Syria have confirmed that artillery and tank shells were fired at a residential area of Houla, Syria, where at least 108 people, including many children, were killed, the U.N. chief said on Sunday in a letter to the Security Council. REUTERS/Shaam News Network/Handout

1 of 12. People gather at a mass burial for the victims purportedly killed during an artillery barrage from Syrian forces in Houla in this handout image dated May 26, 2012. U.N. observers in Syria have confirmed that artillery and tank shells were fired at a residential area of Houla, Syria, where at least 108 people, including many children, were killed, the U.N. chief said on Sunday in a letter to the Security Council.

Credit: Reuters/Shaam News Network/Handout

By Mariam Karouny and Dominic Evans

BEIRUT | Thu May 31, 2012 9:27pm EDT

BEIRUT (Reuters) - Syria is nearing full-blown sectarian civil war that would be catastrophic for the entire Middle East, Western nations said on Thursday, urging Russia to end its support for President Bashar al-Assad and put pressure on him to stop the bloodshed.

With anti-Assad rebels urging international envoy Kofi Annan to declare his peace plan dead, freeing them from any commitment to the tattered truce, U.S. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton said the prospect of spiraling violence presented "terrible" danger.

"A civil war in a country that would be driven by sectarian divides ... could then morph into a proxy war in the region because, remember, you have Iran deeply embedded in Syria," Clinton said during a trip to Copenhagen where she urged Moscow to increase pressure on Assad.

Russia, like China, has vetoed two Security Council resolutions calling for tougher action against Damascus, while stressing hopes that Annan's plan can spur a political solution. Washington called a reported shipment of Russian arms to Syria "reprehensible" although not illegal.

"The Russians keep telling us they want to do everything they can to avoid a civil war because they believe that the violence would be catastrophic," Clinton said.

"I think they are in effect propping up the regime at a time when we should be working on a political transition."

British Foreign Secretary William Hague said Syria was moving towards "all-out civil war or a state of collapse". The European Union was drafting new sanctions against Syria, he added, calling on other nations to pressure Assad.

A bloody crackdown on what began 14 months ago as a peaceful mass uprising has increasingly turned it into an armed conflict between heavily armed forces representing an establishment dominated by Assad's Alawite minority, an offshoot of Shi'ite Islam, and rebel forces drawn largely from the Sunni majority.

Damascus says the rebels are backed by Sunni-ruled Gulf Arab states fearful of the growing influence of Syria's main ally in the region, Shi'ite Iran.

HOULA MASSACRE

U.N. Secretary-General Ban Ki-moon warned that another massacre like Friday's killing of 108 men, women and children in the western Houla region could pitch Syria into a devastating civil war "from which the country would never recover".

The United Nations has said the army and pro-Assad gunmen were probably responsible for the Houla killings, but Syria said on Thursday that a preliminary investigation had shown that anti-government armed groups carried out the killings with the aim of encouraging foreign military intervention.

Washington's U.N. ambassador, Susan Rice, said Syria's version of what had happened in Houla was "another blatant lie". The massacre led a range of Western countries to expel senior Syrian diplomats and to press Russia and China to allow tougher action by the U.N. Security Council.

Syria's main rebel commander, Colonel Riad al-Asaad, urged Annan to declare that his peace plan had failed.

"There is no deadline, but we want Kofi Annan to issue a declaration announcing the failure of this plan so that we would be free to carry out any military operation against the regime," Turkey-based Asaad told Al Jazeera television, contradicting rebels inside Syria who issued a 48-hour ultimatum on Wednesday for Assad to abide by Annan's plan.

Annan's spokesman said it was not for the peace envoy to declare defeat.

"The Annan plan does not belong to Kofi Annan. It belongs to the parties that have accepted it and the international community that has endorsed it," Ahmad Fawzi told Reuters.

"So a failure of the Annan plan would be the failure of the international community to solve this peacefully ... If anyone has a better plan, they should come up with it."

The United Nations says Assad's forces have killed more than 9,000 people since the start of the uprising. Syria blames Islamist militants for the violence and says 2,600 soldiers and police have been killed.

Rebel leader Asaad said his fighters had so far honored Annan's plan. But activists have reported frequent attacks by militants and army defectors on government forces since the April 12 ceasefire agreement.

BODIES FOUND

The Syrian Observatory for Human Rights, a British-based network that collates reports of violence in Syria, said 11 bodies had been found outside the town of al-Qusair - killings that a Syrian television station blamed on "terrorist groups".

At least one person was killed and dozens were wounded in artillery and rocket bombardment in the Houla region on Thursday following rebel attacks on soldiers and pro-Assad 'shabbiha' militiamen, opposition activists said.

Russian President Vladimir Putin flies to Berlin and Paris on Friday for talks that European leaders may hope to use to lean on him to loosen Moscow's strategic links to Assad.

Russia has sought to justify its weapons deliveries to Syria, saying government forces need to defend themselves against rebels receiving arms from abroad. Damascus says Qatar, Saudi Arabia and Libya are among the countries helping the rebels.

The United States and the EU have suggested a U.N. arms embargo, but that would need the consent of Russia and China, which have so far resisted tougher action at the Security Council.

China said it still had faith in the Annan plan, despite the "pain and sadness over what happened in Houla".

"Annan's efforts are facing difficulties but no one can deny that they are making progress in some respects," Foreign Minister Yang Jiechi said.

"We knew from the beginning that his path would not be strewn with flowers."

Annan met Jordan's King Abdullah in Amman to discuss the regional impact of the Syrian crisis, before flying to Lebanon where he met President Michel Suleiman, telling his interlocutors he had urged Assad to "take bold steps now to end the violence" and implement the peace plan, his spokesman said.

Lebanese Prime Minister Najib Mikati visited Turkey for talks with his Turkish counterpart Tayyip Erdogan on the fate of a dozen Shi'ite pilgrims taken hostage last week in northern Syria, shortly after crossing the border from Turkey.

Syrian rebels in Aleppo province said in a statement that the hostages were in good health and suggested that some had participated in fighting the rebellion.

They demanded an apology from Hezbollah chief Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah, an ally of Assad, for remarks on Syria he made in a speech last week.

(Additional reporting by Laila Bassam and Oliver Holmes in Beirut, Khaled Yacoub Oweis in Amman, Ben Blanchard in Beijing, Seda Sezer in Istanbul, Douglas Hamilton in Tel Aviv; Writing by Robin Pomeroy; Editing by Kevin Liffey)

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Reuters: World News: Insight: From a ferry, a Chinese fast-attack boat

Reuters: World News
Reuters.com is your source for breaking news, business, financial and investing news, including personal finance and stocks. Reuters is the leading global provider of news, financial information and technology solutions to the world's media, financial institutions, businesses and individuals. // via fulltextrssfeed.com
Insight: From a ferry, a Chinese fast-attack boat
May 31st 2012, 23:06

By David Lague

Thu May 31, 2012 7:06pm EDT

(Reuters) - It looked like a textbook win-win deal when Australian high-speed ferry designer AMD Marine Consulting formed a joint venture in 1993 with the engineering arm of a state-owned Chinese shipbuilder.

The joint venture partner, Guangzhou Marine Engineering Corporation, a subsidiary of the giant China State Shipbuilding Corporation, gained access to state-of-the-art technology in wave-piercing, aluminum-hull designs.

For AMD, a Sydney-based private company, the payoff was a foothold in China's maritime market during a period of rapid growth.

The joint venture, Seabus International Co, began designing high-speed aluminum catamaran ferries, rescue vessels and patrol boats for China's inland and coastal waters, according to the company's website.

That's when a third winner emerged.

Attracted to the performance of these fast, stable and relatively cheap vessels, the Chinese military adopted the technology as it began replacing its aging missile boats that had been derived from an obsolete Soviet design.

AMD did not respond to a request for comment.

China's naval buildup in the South China Sea, to back its claims to islets and reefs in waters rich in oil and gas and which half the world's ship tonnage passes through each year, has prompted the United States to make a strategic shift toward Asia.

U.S. Defense Secretary Leon Panetta, on his first visit to the region since announcing that shift in January, will brief allies about it this weekend, beginning with "The Shangri-La Dialogue". The event brings together senior civilian and military chiefs from nearly 30 Asia-Pacific states to foster security cooperation and takes its name from the host Singapore hotel.

MISSILE BOAT

Since 2004, the People's Liberation Army (PLA) navy has deployed a rapidly expanding fleet of heavily armed, Houbei class fast-attack missile boats based on AMD's advanced catamaran hull, according to reports on Chinese military websites and Western defense magazines.

In a clear demonstration of the value of foreign dual-use technology in China's rapid military buildup, the Houbei class or Type-022 as it is also known, appears to be adapted from the AMD 350 patrol boat design, Chinese and Western analysts say.

"I think it is the most impressive missile boat in the Asia Pacific region," said Andrei Chang, a Hong Kong-based analyst of the Chinese military and editor of Kanwa Asian Defense Magazine.

"It looks very high-tech and stealthy with plenty of firepower from eight anti-ship missiles."

In its annual report on the Chinese military, the Pentagon said earlier this month the Chinese navy had deployed about 60 of the Houbei class patrol craft.

"These boats have increased the PLA Navy's littoral warfare capabilities," the Pentagon said.

The United States is also beefing up its littoral warfare capabilities in the region. The USS Freedom, first in a new class of combat ships, will be sent to Singapore next year as part of the strategic "Asia pivot".

The smaller, shallow-draft ships are intended for operations close to shore and capable of deploying quickly in a crisis. Singapore has discussed hosting up to four such U.S. "Littoral Combat Ships" on a rotational basis at its naval facilities.

"ANTI-ACCESS STRATEGY"

In the report, the Pentagon also said China's defense and civilian sectors worked in close cooperation as part of a long-standing effort to incorporate technology that could accelerate military modernization.

The report noted the cumulative effect of dual-use technology transfers, particularly from the United States, could make a substantial contribution to Chinese military firepower.

The mass production of the Type-022 suggests the Chinese navy believes these vessels will complement its so-called "anti-access" strategy aimed at keeping foreign forces away from waters surrounding Taiwan in time of conflict, said Sam Roggeveen, an analyst and commentator at the Sydney-based Lowy Institute for International Policy, an independent private foreign policy research group.

China considers self-ruled Taiwan a renegade province to be brought under mainland control eventually, and by force if necessary. The United States is Taiwan's biggest ally and arms supplier and is duty-bound by legislation to help the island defend itself.

"China's anti-access capabilities are now such that it would be very difficult for the U.S. Navy to intervene in a conflict over Taiwan at an acceptable cost," Roggeveen said. "The Type-22 has made a contribution to that capability."

Some analysts forecast the Chinese navy will take delivery of up to 100 of these vessels, which carry an estimated price tag of about $15 million each.

No one has suggested AMD Marine Consulting has done anything illegal. Under Australian law, exporters of military equipment must seek government approval for foreign sales but these restrictions do not apply to work done by Australian company subsidiaries operating offshore.

An Australian company is also providing aluminum hull design technology to the U.S. military. Western Australian shipbuilder Austal has won contracts to design and build a new class of littoral combat ship and high-speed transport catamarans for the U.S. Navy.

On its Chinese website, Seabus said it was engaged in research and development and design of wave-piercing and conventional, high-speed catamarans. It also advertises a range of AMD catamaran designs from 80 to 2,600 metric tons (88 to 2866 tons).

WESTERN WEAPONS SALES BAN

Despite bans on Western weapons sales to China that have remained in place since the 1989 Tiananmen crackdown, Beijing has mounted a rapid military build-up that has made the PLA increasingly capable of challenging the military dominance the United States has enjoyed in Asia since the end of the Cold War.

Average annual increases of almost 12 per cent in military spending over more than two decades have allowed China to deploy an expanding force of potent warships and submarines, long-range strike aircraft, missiles and modernized nuclear warheads.

Early in this period, China relied heavily on imports of Russian weapons but this has slowed as the domestic arms industry gears up to build more locally designed hardware.

As part of this shift, dual-use technology from abroad has been crucial to advances across a broad range of China's military technologies including satellites, communications networks, helicopters, radars, marine engines, signals processing and training simulators, military analysts say.

China's state-owned commercial shipbuilders, who also deliver warships for the navy, have been at the forefront of absorbing foreign technology.

TOP PLA PRIORITY

The link between AMD's designs and the Chinese navy was first reported in 2007 in SIGNAL Magazine, a Fairfax, Virginia-based specialist defense technology publication. Roggeveen also reported on the deal in a Lowy Institute blog.

At the time, AMD confirmed the Chinese navy had adopted its technology.

Since then, the expanding Houbei class fleet has become a top priority for China's military with mass production involving up to five shipyards, defense experts say.

With an estimated top speed of more than 36 knots, the 225-metric-ton boats were clearly designed for offensive missions where they would attack with their YJ-83 anti-ship missiles, which can strike targets at a distance of more than 200 km, experts say.

They also appear to be equipped with advanced data processing links so these missiles can be directed from sensors on other aircraft or ships.

The Type-22 also has a close-in weapon system for defense against incoming missiles and what appears to be a launcher for anti-aircraft missiles.

"CARRIER KILLER"

Naval strategists suggest that deployed in big numbers in wartime, these fast and stealthy craft could overwhelm bigger and much more expensive enemy warships with waves of missiles fired from different directions.

Combined with missiles from China's land-based launchers, surface warships, submarines and strike aircraft, these attacks could sharply raise the stakes for an enemy operating close to the mainland.

"This craft is a purebred ship killer, perhaps even a carrier killer," wrote John Patch, a retired U.S. Navy officer in an article for the United States Naval Institute.

In its report on China, the Pentagon said it would continue with efforts to block the transfer of important technology to China that would contribute to China's defense industry and military firepower.

However, for the United States and its allies, it could be difficult to evaluate which technologies or materials should be restricted, according to military analysts, particularly for countries that benefit from close trading relationships with China.

"If you were going to be terribly rigid about this, you'd argue that Australian iron-ore exports indirectly benefit the PLA and thus should be stopped," said Roggeveen.

(Editing by Bill Tarrant and Nick Macfie)

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Reuters: World News: Greek pro-bailout conservatives have 2.5 point lead in poll

Reuters: World News
Reuters.com is your source for breaking news, business, financial and investing news, including personal finance and stocks. Reuters is the leading global provider of news, financial information and technology solutions to the world's media, financial institutions, businesses and individuals. // via fulltextrssfeed.com
Greek pro-bailout conservatives have 2.5 point lead in poll
May 31st 2012, 23:21

ATHENS | Thu May 31, 2012 7:21pm EDT

ATHENS (Reuters) - A new Greek opinion poll to be published on Friday showed the pro-bailout conservatives leading their leftist, anti-bailout rivals by 2.5 points, as Greece nears a key election on June 17.

Backing for the conservative New Democracy stood at 26.1 percent, according to the poll by Kapa Research for newspaper Ta Nea. The SYRIZA party, which opposes the country's international bailout, came second with 23.6 percent.

In a previous survey by the same pollster published on May 26, New Democracy was leading SYRIZA by 5.7 points.

Below is a table of recent poll results: Agency Date** ND SYRIZA PASOK I.G. KKE D.L. G.D.

KAPA 1/6 26.1 23.6 9.9 5.3 5.7 4.4 5.1

RASS 1/6 26.5 24.2 12.1 5.8 5.2 5.4 3.6

*MRB 31/5 27.6 26.0 14.6 7.1 4.7 6.6 5.4

*MARC 31/5 28.8 27.0 13.9 7.0 6.3 5.9 4.6 Alco 31/5 25.0 22.7 12.5 6.5 5.0 5.2 4.5

*D.RC 31/5 28.4 25.6 13.9 7.0 5.7 6.2 5.4 *Pulse 30/5 27.0 27.0 14.5 7.5 5.5 5.5 5.5

*VPRC 30/5 26.5 30.0 12.5 7.5 5.5 7.5 4.5

GPO 30/5 23.4 22.1 13.5 7.4 5.9 5.1 4.2 *Pulse 26/5 26.5 26.0 15.5 7.5 5.0 5.5 5.5

*MARC 26/5 27.7 25.5 15.2 7.7 5.5 6.3 4.4 *Alco 26/5 25.6 22.9 14.0 6.4 5.6 4.6 4.6 Kapa 26/5 25.8 20.1 13.0 5.4 6.3 5.3 5.2

*MRB 26/5 27.1 25.6 14.7 7.7 5.2 6.1 5.2 *Metr. 25/5 27.0 27.2 14.8 7.2 5.2 6.2 4.9

*VPRC 25/5 26.0 28.5 12.5 7.0 3.0 7.0 5.5

RASS 25/5 23.6 21.4 13.1 5.8 4.8 6.2 3.8

*D.RC 24/5 29.4 28.8 13.3 6.6 5.8 4.1 6.4

*P.I. 24/5 26.0 30.0 15.5 8.0 5.0 6.5 4.0

*P.I. 19/5 24.0 28.0 15.0 8.0 5.0 7.0 4.5 *Alco 19/5 23.1 21.4 13.5 7.3 5.2 6.0 3.8

*MRB 19/5 24.4 23.8 14.5 8.5 5.9 6.9 5.8 *Metr. 19/5 23.8 25.1 17.4 7.8 5.8 6.3 4.8

*MARC 17/5 26.1 23.7 14.9 8.1 5.8 6.3 4.8 *Pulse 17/5 21.5 24.5 15.5 8.0 6.0 6.0 6.0

VPRC 16/5 14.5 20.3 10.9 3.7 4.4 6.1 2.2 Kapa 13/5 18.1 20.5 12.2 8.4 6.5 5.0 5.8 *Metr. 12/5 21.7 25.5 14.6 10.5 5.3 5.4 4.7

*MARC 10/5 20.3 27.7 12.6 10.2 7.0 4.9 5.7

Elect. 6/5 18.9 16.8 13.2 10.6 8.5 6.1 7.0

*Poll result effectively excludes undecided voters and those who refused to say how they will vote, to project how the poll data would translate into an actual vote result.

** Date of publication

ND: New Democracy (Conservative, pro-bailout)

SYRIZA: Left Coalition (Leftist, anti-bailout)

PASOK: Panhellenic Socialist Movement (pro-bailout)

I.G.: Independent Greeks (conservative, anti-bailout)

KKE: Communists (anti-bailout)

D.L.: Democratic Left (moderate left, anti-austerity)

G.D: Golden Dawn (far-right, anti-bailout)

(Reporting by Harry Papachristou and George Georgiopoulos)

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Reuters: World News: Blind activist urges U.S. to push China on rule of law

Reuters: World News
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Blind activist urges U.S. to push China on rule of law
May 31st 2012, 16:58

By Michelle Nichols

NEW YORK | Thu May 31, 2012 12:58pm EDT

NEW YORK (Reuters) - Blind Chinese rights activist Chen Guangcheng urged the United States on Thursday to "try harder" to promote rule of law in his homeland as he described his brother and nephew being so badly beaten in an attack he blamed on local officials that thick axe handles being used as weapons broke.

Chen, who arrived in New York nearly two weeks ago to study, told the Council on Foreign Relations that his key concern was that Chinese law was still being "trampled on," illustrating his point by recounting the retaliation against his family since his escape from 19 months of house arrest last month.

When asked what Washington could do to push the rule of law in China, the self-taught lawyer said: "They can try harder."

"It's a very complicated thing this diplomacy between big countries, but no matter how you put it human rights is a very basic human value," said Chen, who traveled to the United States with his wife and two young children.

"If you can't even care about such fundamental human values the other interests are very superficial by comparison. We say in China you don't want to care only about the branches and forget about the core," he said.

After four years in jail on what he and his supporters say were trumped-up charges designed to end his activism, Chen was released in 2010 and put under house arrest in eastern Shandong province, his home a fortress of walls, cameras and guards.

Chen had accused Shandong officials in 2005 of forcing women to have late-term abortions and sterilizations to comply with China's strict family-planning policies. He was charged with whipping up a crowd that disrupted traffic and damaged property.

After his escape, Chen sought refuge at the U.S. embassy in Beijing for six days, embarrassing China and creating an awkward backdrop for U.S. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton's visit to improve ties between the world's two biggest economies.

"I didn't know there was a strategic dialogue going to happen because I had been cut off from communications with everyone. I was just isolated from the rest of the world so that was a total coincidence," Chen said.

"IS THERE ANY JUSTICE?"

Chen is going to study as a fellow at New York University School of Law under a deal reached between the United States and China to resolve his situation.

"The central government is letting me come to the U.S. to study, that is unprecedented. Regardless of what they did in the past as long as they are beginning to move in the right direction we should affirm it," Chen said.

"Liberating our thinking is in our constitution, I think (the central government) will do it," he said. "Some local authorities, they are very backward and I think it's going to take more time to change them."

In an interview with Reuters last week and during his appearance at the Council on Foreign Relations on Thursday, Chen expressed concern for the plight of his family, particularly his brother and nephew.

His nephew, Chen Kegui, who has been charged with "intentional homicide" and accused of using knives to fend off local officials who burst into his home the day after they discovered his uncle had escaped house arrest. His lawyers, who have been denied access to him, said he did not kill anyone.

"The local authorities ... hired thugs with axe handles and busted their way into the home of my older brother and his son," Chen said. "They were very severely beaten and the axe handles, the thick handles, they broke ... as they were beating them."

"In that kind of situation my nephew really had no choice but to take a kitchen knife and fight back," he said. "My nephew, who was about to be killed if he didn't fight back, is now being accused of intentional killing. Is there any justice, is there any rationale in any of this?"

Chen's eldest brother, Chen Guangfu, fled his village last week, evading a security clamp-down to seek help from lawyers for his son. He recounted to Reuters details of his own torture and reprisals by authorities since his brother's escape but has since returned to his home.

"These are all illegal activities but nobody is going after them for that," Chen said. "The moral standards here are at rock bottom because any person of conscience would say this is wrong. And as far as I understand the retaliation is continuing."

"I still hope the central government will be able to live up to their promise and investigate this," Chen said. "They gave me this promise more than once. They stressed it."

(Editing by Vicki Allen)

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Reuters: World News: Syria: anti-government groups committed Houla massacre

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Syria: anti-government groups committed Houla massacre
May 31st 2012, 16:10

BEIRUT | Thu May 31, 2012 12:10pm EDT

BEIRUT (Reuters) - Syria said on Thursday a preliminary investigation showed that anti-government armed groups committed a massacre last week in Houla, in which 108 people were killed, with the aim of encouraging foreign military intervention against the Syrian government.

Brigadier General Qassem Jamal Suleiman, head of the investigation committee formed by the government, said the victims were families "who refused to oppose the government and were at odds with the armed groups".

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Reuters: World News: Insight: Butler's journey from trusted servant to accused Judas

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Insight: Butler's journey from trusted servant to accused Judas
May 31st 2012, 14:11

The Pope's butler, Paolo Gabriele (bottom L) arrives with Pope Benedict XVI (R) at St. Peter's Square in Vatican, in this file photo taken May 23, 2012. REUTERS/Alessandro Bianchi/Files

1 of 2. The Pope's butler, Paolo Gabriele (bottom L) arrives with Pope Benedict XVI (R) at St. Peter's Square in Vatican, in this file photo taken May 23, 2012.

Credit: Reuters/Alessandro Bianchi/Files

By Philip Pullella

VATICAN CITY | Thu May 31, 2012 9:57am EDT

VATICAN CITY (Reuters) - Just after dawn on Wednesday, May 23, Paolo Gabriele said goodbye to his wife, passed by the bedrooms of his three children and left to start another day in the service of the man Roman Catholics believe is the vicar of Christ on Earth.

By the end of the day, Pope Benedict's butler would be branded a traitor and some, including an Italian cardinal, would compare him to the most famous betrayer in history - Judas Iscariot, the man who turned Jesus over to the Romans.

Dark haired and handsome, Gabriele, 46, left his simple home on the third floor of a 1930s Vatican apartment block named after the 7th century monk Saint Egidio.

With the St Ann's Gate entrance, guarded by Swiss Guard in blue berets, to his back, he passed the Holy See's central post office on Via Del Belvedere, turned left to climb a stone stairway named after Pope Pius X, and walked up a flight of covered steps to enter the small Renaissance-era Courtyard of Sixtus V.

Here he used a key held by fewer than 10 people to enter an elevator that leads directly to the pope's private apartment on the third and top floor of the Apostolic Palace in the world's smallest state. Even cardinals can't use it.

Gabriele, said by those who know him to be a timid, reserved and shy man, is now at the centre of the worst crisis in Pope Benedict's pontificate.

His face has appeared on the front pages of newspapers all over the world, accused of being the source of leaked documents alleging serious Vatican corruption and cronyism in a scandal that has shaken the very centre of the Church.

To some - even if he is found guilty - he is an idealist who wanted to root out corruption in the Vatican and was helped by outside accomplices. To others, he is merely a pawn in a much bigger power struggle among cardinals inside the Vatican walls.

"I know Paolo and I don't think he is capable of doing something like this by himself," a person who spoke on the condition of anonymity told Reuters.

"It is clearly a betrayal of the pope's trust but I don't think he could have acted alone," that person said.

That Wednesday morning when Gabriele, dressed in a dark suit and white shirt, entered the private papal apartment, he walked down a corridor past the pope's modern private chapel, with its stained glass ceiling and white leather kneelers.

Even as he was serving the pope his breakfast, after the pontiff had said mass with other members of the "papal family" that morning, Gabriele knew he was a suspect in an investigation into leaks that had begun in January.

"He was questioned earlier but the decisive elements that permitted the arrest surfaced later," a Vatican official said, adding that one of the pope's two private secretaries, Monsignor Georg Ganswein, had confronted Gabriele with his suspicions.

LAST RIDE IN THE POPEMOBILE

At precisely 10:30 that sunny Wednesday morning, Benedict rode in his white popemobile through the Arch of the Bells into St Peter's Square to start his weekly audience. Gabriele was in his usual place, to the right of the driver, and his stony face showed no emotion.

It was the last ride he would take in the iconic vehicle that carries the man world diplomacy recognizes not only as leader of 1.2 billion Roman Catholics but as "The Sovereign of the State of Vatican City."

That afternoon, agents led by Domenico Giani, 49, the shaven-headed Vatican police chief who is known by the diminutive "Mimmo" to his friends, rang the buzzer on the Gabriele family apartment and entered.

Giani was formerly a member of the Italian secret service.

"It's not a fancy place - four rooms, a bath and a kitchen, if I remember correctly," someone who has been inside told Reuters.

Inside, they found what the Vatican newspaper L'Osservatore Romano - which waited nearly a week before writing about the arrest - called "a large number of confidential documents" belonging to the pope.

"A sense of tension, disorientation, stupor and sadness fell over the whole place like a thick fog after news of Paolo's arrest spread," said one Vatican worker describing the mood of employees from priests to postmen in the following days.

Because the Vatican does not have a jail, Gabriele is being held in a simple "safe room" with a bed and small table in the Vatican police station.

But the question on many people's minds and lips, including Gabriele's friends, was "Why? What is the motive?"

If he is guilty, why would Paoletto (little Paul, as he known), a devout Catholic and devoted father, betray the man whose official titles include "Successor of the Prince of the Apostles" and "Servant of the Servants of God"?

People who know Gabriele, now called "the defendant" in Vatican statements, exclude money as a motive.

They say the butler, who still attends Mass each day in the police station, would not have been able to spend it anywhere without raising suspicion; unless he left his job and probably even Italy.

And why, at 46 with three small children, would he leave a simple but comfortable life in the Vatican? While Vatican employees do not receive large salaries, they do enjoy benefits such as low rent, no income tax and cheap food and petrol at the commissaries of the 108-acre city state.

NO CHECKBOOK JOURNALISM, SAYS AUTHOR

Gianluigi Nuzzi, the Italian journalist who revealed many of the documents alleging corruption in the Vatican and internal conflict over the role of the Vatican bank, declines to reveal his sources but insists he did not pay anyone.

Nuzzi, a respected journalist with a good track record whose book "His Holiness: The Secret Papers of Benedict XVI," contains some of the allegations, says his sources were simple, devout people "genuinely concerned about the Catholic Church" who wanted to expose corruption.

People who know Gabriele, who started out as a humble cleaning person in the Vatican, said there was no indication either that he could have been blackmailed over his private life to force him to leak the documents.

Apart from Gabriele, the few other people who could go directly into the papal apartments via the reserved private elevator at the base of the Sixtus V courtyard include the pope's two priest secretaries, Ganswein and Maltese Monsignor Alfred Xuereb, and four consecrated women of "Memores Domini".

Memores Domini is an association of lay women, similar to nuns, who take vows of poverty, chastity and obedience within the Catholic organization Communion and Liberation. Their names are Carmela, Loredana, Cristiana and Rossella.

The fact that Gabriele was part of a tightly knit group known as "the papal family" explains the sadness and bitterness in the pope's words when he first spoke about the crisis in public on Wednesday, exactly one week after the butler's arrest.

"Our life and our Christian path are often marked by difficulties, incomprehension and suffering," he said, adding that all people must persevere in the face of "conflicts in human relations, often within one's own family".

While the pope's secretaries and the four women who help him run the simple household live in the papal residence, Gabriele stayed in his own apartment nearby with his family.

"He lived in the Vatican but not in the papal apartment," one Church official who knows Gabriele told Reuters. "He could have met with anyone in the Vatican or outside the Vatican".

In an interview with Reuters, Nuzzi would not say if any of the documents he had received came from Gabriele.

His book contains a treasure trove of private Vatican correspondence, including documents alleging cronyism and corruption in contracts with Italian companies, conspiracies among cardinals and clashes over management at the Vatican's own bank, the Institute for Works of Religion, or IOR.

He said the book, which hit the stands last week and is already sold out in Rome, is based on confidential conversations with more than 10 Vatican whistleblowers.

LOOKING FOR THE CROWS

The Vatican has not contested the authenticity of the documents but says their leak was part of a "brutal" personal attack on the pope and their publication "a criminal act".

The Italian media have dubbed the people who have leaked the documents "Corvi" (crows), a pejorative Italian term for an informant.

"They are not crows, they are doves who wanted to shed light, clean their air," Nuzzi told Reuters. "If the image of the Vatican that emerges is negative, it is not my fault, it is because of what is written in the documents."

The leaks began in January when an investigative television show hosted by Nuzzi broadcast private letters to Secretary of State Cardinal Tarcisio Bertone and the pope from Archbishop Carlo Maria Vigano, former deputy governor of the Vatican City, who has been moved to Washington as the Vatican's ambassador.

The letters showed Vigano was transferred after he exposed what he said was a web of corruption and cronyism linked to the awarding of contracts at inflated prices to Italian contractors.

Bertone responded by removing Vigano from his position three years before the end of his tenure and sending him to the United States, despite his strong resistance.

Bertone, whose job is to keep the Vatican's central administration, or Curia, running smoothly for the pope, now looks weakened after the leaks scandal and other failures.

They include the abrupt departure last week of the Vatican bank's Italian chief Ettore Gotti Tedeschi - who was recruited by Bertone from Spanish bank Santander - after a no-confidence vote by its board.

At his position in the papal apartments, Gabriele was in a prime position to see at least some of the disarray and tension in the Curia. But it remains to be seen whether he really was a pawn used by others to undermine Bertone, as some sources say.

"This is a strategy of tension, an orgy of vendettas and pre-emptive vendettas that has now spun out of the control of those who thought they could orchestrate it," said Alberto Melloni, a prominent Italian Church historian.

After his arrest Gabriele called an old school friend and devout catholic, Carlo Fusco, and asked him to be his defense lawyer. Fusco, a civil advocate, called in criminal lawyer Cristiana Arru to help with Gabriele's defense.

Gabriele's fate is now in the hands of Piero Antonio Bonnet, the Vatican's public prosecutor.

He will decide if the man who once was trusted with the keys to the papal elevator should stand trial for aggravated theft, or even worse, disclosing the documents of a head of state or breaking a special pontifical law protecting papal confidentiality.

The pope has tried to end talk of conflict under his roof.

Breaking his silence on the scandal on Wednesday, he expressed full confidence in his staff, including those who he said work "in silence" to help him carry out his ministry.

But that group no longer includes Gabriele, who only a few days ago was one of the closest men to Pope Benedict but now sits in a lonely room in the Vatican awaiting his fate.

(Additional reporting by Silvia Aloisi, Paolo Biondi, Tom Heneghan and James Mackenzie, editing by Barry Moody and Ralph Boulton)

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Reuters: World News: Militants deny link to Pakistani doctor in bin Laden case

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Militants deny link to Pakistani doctor in bin Laden case
May 31st 2012, 10:03

By Saud Mehsud and Jibran Ahmad

DERA ISMAIL KHAN/PESHAWAR, Pakistan | Thu May 31, 2012 6:03am EDT

DERA ISMAIL KHAN/PESHAWAR, Pakistan (Reuters) - Deepening the mystery in a case that is straining Islamabad's relations with Washington, a Pakistani militant group said on Thursday it never had ties to a doctor who helped the CIA find Osama bin Laden, even though he was jailed for aiding them.

Last week, after Dr Shakil Afridi was convicted by a court in the Khyber tribal region near the Afghan border, Pakistani officials said the decision was based on treason charges for helping the CIA and conspiring against the state.

After that announcement rankled U.S. officials, Pakistan then said the doctor had a history of womanizing, sexual harassment and assault and stealing, allegations that could not be independently confirmed.

A court document released on Wednesday stated that Afridi was imprisoned for 33 years for supporting the Lashkar-e-Islam (LI) militant group.

"There is no truth to this. We want to get him ourselves. If we get hold of him, we are going to punish him according to sharia law," Abdul Rasheed, an LI commander, told Reuters.

"He is a traitor, an enemy of Islam, a greedy blackmailer."

The comments are likely to raise new questions about Afridi's case, which has come to symbolize the strains in the alliance between Pakistan and the United States.

U.S. Defense Secretary Leon Panetta criticized Islamabad over Afridi's sentence and suggested it would hurt efforts to repair ties damaged by several events, including the unilateral raid by U.S. Navy SEALs that killed bin Laden on Pakistani soil.

Pakistani officials describe bin Laden's long presence in the garrison town of Abbottabad as a security lapse and reject suggestions that members of the military or intelligence services were complicit in hiding him there.

Cooperation between the United States and Pakistan is critical for weakening the Taliban insurgency in neighboring Afghanistan.

Failure to do so could hurt President Barack Obama's re-election bid. The United States and Pakistan are deadlocked in negotiations over re-opening supply routes through Pakistan to NATO troops in landlocked Afghanistan.

Pakistan shut the routes after a NATO cross-border air attack killed 24 Pakistani soldiers six months ago.

In Washington, government sources said the United States is making strenuous efforts to win Afridi's release from jail.

While the judgment released on Wednesday said there was evidence that Afridi "has been shown acting with other foreign intelligence agencies", it said the court in Khyber had no jurisdiction to act on that.

It recommended that the evidence may be produced before an appropriate court for further proceedings.

LED BY FORMER BUS DRIVER

LI is a relatively small militant group based in Khyber, one of seven ethnic Pashtun tribal districts along the porous border with Afghanistan that have never come under full government control.

The group is led by Mangal Bagh, a former bus driver turned warlord. It is not allied with any of the other major militant groups operating in nuclear-armed Pakistan.

LI had several bloody clashes with the al-Qaeda linked Pakistani Taliban, seen as the biggest security threat to Pakistan, one of the most unstable countries in the world.

Former and current Pakistani security and intelligence officials say Afridi was a poorly qualified doctor who performed unauthorized surgeries. LI made similar accusations.

The group could be attacked by other militant organizations if it is seen as having cooperated with Afridi.

"We punished him three years ago after people complained about him. He conducted improper surgeries, sold poor quality medicines and blackmailed people," said Rasheed.

"We caught him, fined him and distributed that money to the affected people. His surgeries had disabled many people. The government is inept so it never acted against him."

Afridi was tried in a tribal administration court, under laws which do not carry the death penalty.

Some analysts said the decision was made to appease the United States. The Pakistani Taliban had a similar interpretation.

"Shakil Afridi is a traitor, and the only punishment for a traitor is death. Pakistan's rulers are afraid of America, so they are not sentencing him to death," Pakistani Taliban spokesman Ehsanullah Ehsan told Reuters.

"Dr Shakil Afridi caused the martyrdom of Osama bin Laden, who was a hero of Islam. If the Taliban get their hands on Shakil Afridi, we will cut him to pieces."

Afridi is in solitary confinement because authorities at the prison in the northwestern city of Peshawar fear militants or others may try to kill him.

(Additional reporting by Mark Hosenball in Washington; Writing by Michael Georgy; Editing by Robert Birsel)

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Reuters: World News: Baghdad bomb kills at least nine in market blast

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Baghdad bomb kills at least nine in market blast
May 31st 2012, 09:15

BAGHDAD | Thu May 31, 2012 5:15am EDT

BAGHDAD (Reuters) - At least nine people were killed and 27 more wounded on Thursday when a truck bomb exploded in a busy Baghdad market area, Iraqi police and hospital officials said.

The blast near a restaurant in the mainly Shi'ite Shula district was the first serious attack on the Iraqi capital since mid-May when a suicide bomber hit a police checkpoint.

Witnesses and police said the suspected bomber left a vegetable delivery truck packed with explosives at the market place minutes before it detonated.

"The pickup truck came into the market and the driver left it saying he was going to get people to unload the vegetables," Haider Fadhil, one of the wounded victims said from a nearby hospital. "It was a huge explosion, I was knocked out and woke up in a car on my way to hospital."

Violence in Iraq has fallen sharply since the height of the sectarian slaughter triggered a few years after the 2003 U.S.-led invasion that ousted Saddam Hussein. Suicide bombings and blasts claimed hundreds of lives daily in 2006-2007.

Since the last U.S. troops left in Iraq in December, Sunni Islamists have often targeted local security forces and government buildings, but have also sought out Shi'ite victims in an attempt to stir sectarian tensions.

(Reporting by Baghdad newsroom; Writing by Patrick Markey; Editing by Alison Williams)

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